Bayesian Factory
Three probability games taking place at the Bayesian Factory: balls flow through a factory of conveyors, mixers, and sorters, eventually landing at a box.
A factory with several visible sacks of different colors and observation bins
Updating
Each sack holds an unknown mix of colored balls. Watch what falls out and update your beliefs about what's inside.
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A tree of orange splitter boxes feeding into output bins
Simulation
Every part of the factory is visible. Work out how likely a ball is to land in each output bin — by reasoning, or by writing code.
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A factory with most parts hidden under hatched tiles, with colored output bins below
Inference
Some components of the factory is hidden. Watch how the balls come out, infer what's in the hidden parts, and predict where the next ball goes.
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